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Initialization of Seasonal Forecasts Assimilating Sea Level
and Temperature Observations
J. Climate, vol. 14, 4292-4307.
In this paper, the combined assimilation of satellite
observed sea level anomalies and in situ temperature data into a global
ocean model, which is used to initialize a
coupled ocean-atmosphere forecast system, is described. The altimeter
data are first used to create synthetic temperature observations, which
are then combined with the
directly observed temperature profiles in an optimum interpolation scheme.
In addition to temperature, salinity is corrected based on a preservation
of the model's local
temperature-salinity relationship. Coupled forecasts with a lead time
of up to 6 months are initialized from the ocean analyses and the impact
of the data assimilation on both
the ocean analysis and the coupled forecasts is investigated. It is shown
that forecasts of sea surface temperature anomalies in the Niño-3
area can be improved by initializing
the coupled forecast model with the ocean analysis in which temperature
and altimeter data are assimilated in combination. The results further
imply that a good simulation of
the salinity field is required to make optimum use of the altimeter data.
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